Newsletter – July 16, 2026
Market Overview
A collision of softer inflation data and hawkish central bank messaging is shaping a highly selective trading environment. Easing price pressures initially lifted risk appetite as June wholesale inflation metrics fell below expectations
[1][2]. This cooling trend was further confirmed by June CPI dropping to 3.5%
[3][4], which boosted expectations of a Federal Reserve pause
[5]. However, Wall Street's optimism hit a wall when Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered hawkish congressional testimony, warning that inflation remains sticky and keeping interest rate hikes on the table
[3]. This split narrative has introduced notable divergence across major asset classes. In equities,…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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