Newsletter – May 19, 2026
Market Overview
The session is carrying a cautious but not panicked tone. Equities are softer at the margin, with semiconductor names pulling back ahead of Nvidia's earnings after the close Wednesday, and the dollar edging higher on a combination of Fed rate expectations and residual geopolitical noise
[1][2]. Trump's comments signaling potential progress on an Iran nuclear deal knocked oil lower by roughly 2%, which removed one layer of inflationary anxiety but did little to lift broader risk appetite in a meaningful way
[3][4]. Treasury yields remain elevated and bond markets are watching closely — the FOMC minutes due Wednesday carry real weight…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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