Market Context
Markets are holding their breath ahead of Christopher Warsh’s first Fed decision. While UK inflation cools, individual tech names are diverging: Microsoft looks vulnerable after dropping its Oracle deal, while Meta rallies on new user data. Here is how we are structuring risk today.
Newsletter – June 17, 2026
Market Overview
The market is essentially holding its breath as traders wait for Christopher Warsh's first Federal Reserve policy decision as chair
[1][2]. Major forex pairs are mostly paralyzed in early trading, while the US Dollar remains defensive against this macro uncertainty. We did get a notable data print across the pond: UK inflation cooled to 2.8%, coming in under the 3.0% forecast
[3]. That essentially locks in expectations for the Bank of England to hold rates steady at 3.75%, pulling the British Pound slightly lower on the day. Over in the equity space, the tech landscape is a bit fractured. Meta found some…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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