Newsletter – May 26, 2026
Market Overview
Today's session carried a distinctly cautious tone despite surface-level gains in US equities. The S&P 500 and Dow posted modest advances, but the backdrop is anything but clean. Risk appetite has been pulled in two directions — optimism around potential US-Iran diplomatic progress briefly weakened the dollar and lifted stocks, only for that trade to partially reverse as Secretary Rubio's comments and continued US strikes tempered the peace narrative
[1]. Oil's sharp intraday moves and the choppy FX action reflect just how headline-dependent this market is right now. On the macro data front, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April came in at…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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