Market Context
Treasury buybacks pressured the dollar, fueling surges in crude oil and digital assets. With WTI testing $87 on Middle East supply risks and Ethereum pushing technical extremes, we break down high-confluence pullback setups and key risk levels.
Newsletter – August 20, 2026
Market Overview
A heavy liquidity injection took center stage after the U.S. Treasury announced an expansion of its long-dated debt buybacks, pushing Treasury yields down and weakening the U.S. Dollar
[1][2][3]. The greenback's retreat provided strong fuel for currencies like the euro, which marched toward $1.17
[4], and sparked massive upside across precious metals and cryptocurrencies
[5][6]. However, the broader equity market is struggling to find a unified direction
[7][8]. Disappointing domestic sales growth from Walmart
[9][10] and sharp supplier reshuffling in semiconductors
[11][12]have tempered equity appetite despite a blowout Philly Fed manufacturing print of 47.4.…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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