Market Context
Surging 10-year Treasury yields and Middle East supply risks are steering market flows toward energy. We break down the macro catalyst driving crude, the technical pullback setup in ExxonMobil (XOM), and why chasing NZDUSD shorts carries exhaustion risk.
Newsletter – September 02, 2026
Market Overview
Global risk assets are contending with a sharp crosscurrent of rising bond yields and escalating geopolitical friction in the Middle East
[1][2]. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields pushing past 4.80% alongside climbing crude benchmarks have reignited inflation jitters, pressuring equity indices and triggering broader risk-off flows
[3][4][2]. Headline U.S. equity benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Dow have slipped on the session, accompanied by a softer ADP employment print of 38K versus expectations of 51K
[5][6].
The macro backdrop remains split between resilient corporate earnings narratives in big tech and headwinds from monetary policy uncertainty
[7][8]. While…
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Key Levels & Market Scenarios
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