Market context
Follow the story. See which markets it affects. Explore the context.
Ahead of next week's Fed rate decision, historical data shows the S&P 500 typically underperforms following rate hikes, falling an average of 0.54% over the subsequent week. However, elevated retail …
Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase around $77,000 following its rally above $80,000, pressured by rising Treasury yields and pre-FOMC caution. While Glassnode analysts highlight that restrictive m…
Markets are pricing a 60-66% probability of a surprise 25 bps Federal Reserve rate hike on September 16. Higher real yields and an updated hawkish dot plot threaten to trigger severe headwinds for Bi…
Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicated a preference to keep interest rates steady at the September FOMC meeting if inflation moderates. His comments reduced market expectations for an immediate ra…
Federal Reserve policymakers, including Waller and Barr, signal readiness to consider interest rate hikes if upcoming inflation reports remain elevated. However, officials emphasize strict data depen…
Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for keeping interest rates unchanged in September, provided upcoming inflation data shows continued progress. While acknowledging policy remains mildl…
Historical data shows the S&P 500 typically peaks mid-September before weakening. With the upcoming FOMC meeting bringing fresh economic projections and rising odds of a hawkish rate hike, equities f…
Veteran analyst Stephen Guilfoyle predicts a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, possibly 25 basis points, in September or October following a hawkish shift in Chairman Warsh's comments. Warsh signal…
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a surprisingly hawkish message at Jackson Hole, dashing hopes for dovish pivots. He emphasized continued inflation fights, pushing Treasury yields higher and causi…
Rising oil prices and stubborn inflation suggest the Fed may hike rates again in September, shifting the narrative away from monetary easing. Markets are bracing for critical upcoming CPI and PPI rep…
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals a hawkish pivot, repeatedly citing inflationary 'shocks' and hinting at rate hikes despite the July pause. Markets sold off sharply, with the Dow dropping 1,100+ poi…
The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% under new chair Kevin Warsh, despite Trump's push for cuts. Crypto markets reacted with fear (Fear & Greed Index at 28), as Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana…
This week features major earnings, an FOMC meeting, and the release of Core PCE inflation data. While headline inflation has fluctuated due to energy costs, Core PCE remains elevated and is the Fed's…
US stock futures, particularly the tech-heavy Nasdaq, are plunging as a severe selloff in semiconductor stocks intensifies. This market pressure comes ahead of major upcoming earnings reports and a c…
US equities fell sharply after Fed Chair Warsh signaled potential rate hikes to combat persistent 'economic shocks' from tariffs and conflicts. His comments on AI investment being vulnerable to highe…
The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision remains uncertain due to rising oil prices and persistent inflation risks. While recent core CPI data slowed to 2.6%, analysts note a rate hike i…
JPMorgan outlines potential S&P 500 movements ahead of the Federal Reserve decision, assigning a 50% base-case probability to a hawkish hold. The bank estimates a low chance of a rate hike, while war…
Fed expected to hold rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid stable employment, healthy economy, and slowing inflation despite oil price resurgence. Market confidence in this outcome remains uncertain.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh leads his second FOMC meeting amid market uncertainty. Cooling inflation conflicts with rising oil prices due to U.S.-Iran tensions, leaving traders split between a …
Trump's new tariffs on 60+ trading partners add to inflation pressures already driven by Iran war oil shocks, AI chip pricing power, and broad price increases, complicating the Fed's July 29 rate dec…