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Bitcoin fell below $78,000 as Polymarket odds for the US Clarity Act passing dropped to 18%. The crypto rally stalled amid regulatory uncertainty, though negotiations continue ahead of a pivotal Sena…
Bitcoin climbed above $80,000 supported by institutional spot ETF inflows and dovish Fed rate-pause expectations following weak ADP jobs data. However, prediction markets indicate traders are reprici…
Polymarket's prediction submarket for a Bitcoin breakout to $78,000 jumped to an 89% probability, marking a 20.5% surge in an hour. The sharp shift reflects growing bullish trader sentiment likely tr…
U.S. stock futures show mixed performance amid escalating Middle East tensions and cautious sentiment ahead of key economic data. Polymarket traders reflect a bearish outlook with only a 41% probabil…
Polymarket bettors lean bullish (57%) for S&P 500 on Aug 14 amid Middle East tensions, rising 10-year yields near 4.69%, and IEA forecasts of a 4.3M bpd oil supply drop this year.
S&P 500 futures flat amid mixed signals: Middle East tensions, oil supply attacks, rising Treasury yields near 4.69%, and awaited retail sales data create market uncertainty despite slight bullish Po…
Yen weakens toward 159.43 as intervention effects fade; Polymarket odds for a September BOJ rate hike surge to 81% from 22% two weeks ago, driving trader repositioning.
Polymarket odds for Bitcoin staying above $62,500 in August surged from 77.5% to 92.5%, signaling increased market confidence in price stability above this threshold.
Betting markets slash odds of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in 2026 to just 9%, down from 91% in January, while chances of a drop below $45,000 rise, reflecting bearish sentiment amid prolonged crypto wi…
S&P 500 futures edge higher as cooling inflation data offsets Middle East tensions. Polymarket bettors show 61% odds of a higher open, with focus shifting to PPI data and Q3 earnings.
California billionaire wealth tax gains betting odds (32%) ahead of Nov ballot. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang urges wealthy residents to stay, while other tech figures oppose the tax. Limited direct financ…
US stock futures inch higher as investors weigh strong earnings against Middle East tensions and upcoming inflation data. Polymarket shows 56% odds of a higher S&P 500 open.
U.S. stock futures edge higher Monday as traders eye Polymarket's 62% odds for an S&P 500 up day, ahead of key CPI and PPI inflation reports this week.
S&P 500 dipped slightly amid Strait of Hormuz tensions ahead of Friday's jobs report. Traders remain bullish on rebound, with semiconductor strength and AI optimism supporting sentiment. Fundstrat's …
S&P 500 fell 0.17% Wednesday, ending a four-day rally, while the Dow hit a record high. Polymarket traders see 69% odds of a higher open Thursday, with futures up 0.08%.
Bitcoin is up 7.39% in September, trading near $115,954 with a 50% Polymarket chance of topping $120,000, reversing prior September weakness.