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U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to 47.8 in September, near record lows, driven by surging fuel prices. Concurrently, year-ahead inflation expectations surged to 4.6%, raising market expectations of a…
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces an inflation credibility shock as markets doubt the central bank's resolve to hike rates. Long-term bond yields and mortgage rates are climbing, raising inflation concerns…
Historical analysis shows the S&P 500 tends to underperform in the week following Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, averaging a 0.54% decline. However, prevailing retail investor pessimism from th…
Macro analyst Jason Pizzino warns that US housing weakness signals a potential major stock market peak ahead. Citing an 18-year cycle and declining homebuilder metrics, he suggests equity markets cou…
Bank of America lowered near-term bear-market risks but remains structurally cautious on the S&P 500. While valuations have improved due to strong earnings growth, their long-term model forecasts neg…
Despite September's poor historical seasonality, analysts argue this year is different due to strong market breadth, solid earnings growth, and low volatility. While elevated bond yields remain a ris…
Madison Investments warned that the S&P 500's AI-driven narrow rally poses concentration risks reminiscent of past bubbles. The fund also initiated a position in Honeywell Aerospace (HONA) following …
UBS raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 8,100 from 7,900, citing robust corporate earnings breadth, AI infrastructure adoption, and economic resilience, despite pressure from elevated Treasury yiel…
RBC Capital analyzed historical equity patterns during midterm election years, highlighting past second-half volatility while noting current valuations sit near mid-ranges. RBC is not predicting extr…
Billionaire Leon Cooperman warns of an impending recession and market downturn, drawing parallels between today's AI boom and the 1970s Nifty Fifty crash. He highlights risks from rising oil prices, …
According to Yardeni Research, the Fed's stock valuation model is gaining relevance as Treasury yields normalize. The model currently suggests the S&P 500 is slightly undervalued, with a fair value e…
Bank of America advises contrarian trades for 2026, favoring bonds, Chinese property, and gold over crowded AI and tech positions. Political risks, especially from the November U.S. midterms, could t…
Madison Investments released its Q2 letter, warning of extreme market narrowness and potential AI bubble risks despite strong S&P 500 gains. The fund highlighted insurer Arch Capital Group, praising …
Bank of America's August fund manager survey shows net 27% of managers are overweight U.S. equities, the highest level since December 2024. Investors increasingly expect American stocks to outperform…
Aristotle Capital's Q2 2026 letter highlighted robust market gains led by AI infrastructure. The fund divested Synopsys (SNPS) due to decelerating electronic design automation growth and export contr…
Retail sales fell 0.6% in July, the largest drop in 14 months, but driven by seasonal quirks (Amazon Prime timing shift) and lower gas prices rather than economic weakness. Annual sales growth remain…
US retail sales fell 0.6% in July, the largest drop in 14 months, driven by cheaper gas and post-Amazon-sale online spending declines. Annual sales growth remains at 5%, and economists see no major w…
Polymarket bettors lean bullish (57%) for S&P 500 on Aug 14 amid Middle East tensions, rising 10-year yields near 4.69%, and IEA forecasts of a 4.3M bpd oil supply drop this year.
Fundstrat's Tom Lee reaffirmed his S&P 500 8,000 target by August-end, citing rising 2027 earnings estimates, but warned of a possible 10% pullback due to margin debt, Fed policy uncertainty, midterm…
US stock futures inch higher as investors weigh strong earnings against Middle East tensions and upcoming inflation data. Polymarket shows 56% odds of a higher S&P 500 open.